Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? 3% ▼ -73.3 pts Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to Nov… 30% ▲ +21.3 pts Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? 74% ▼ -16 pts Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? 73% ▼ -16 pts Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to Nov… 7% ▼ -14.5 pts Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? 13% ▼ -14 pts Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to Nov… 3% ▼ -13.6 pts Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? 5% ▼ -13.6 pts Will SCU Torreense vs. Sparta Prague end in a draw? 26% ▼ -12.5 pts Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2… 15% ▼ -12.5 pts Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at m… 12% ▼ -12.2 pts Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to Nov… 14% ▲ +11.3 pts Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in … 30% ▼ -11 pts Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a … 26% ▼ -9.5 pts

Live from Polymarket

Polymarket odds, live.
AI reads between the lines.

Every market, every move, as it happens. Tap any market for an AI probability forecast with the reasoning behind it.

Live markets
9,649
Traded in 24h
$24.8M
Biggest move today
-73.3 pts
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
Closing in 24h
2,786

Live markets