Will Alice Huang be federally charged by March 31, 2027?
Yes
36%
No
65%
24h change
+18 pts
- Volume
- $7.2K
- 24h volume
- $7.1K
- Liquidity
- $24.7K
- Updated
- Nov 12, 2026 · 18:05 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
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Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed.
Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed.
Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.