Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Nov 16, 2026
  • 6h left
Yes >99%
No <1%
24h change +2 pts
Volume
$31.9K
24h volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Updated
Nov 15, 2026 · 22:50 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
  • Cabo Verde
  • Cape Verde
  • Elections
  • Global Elections
  • Main Election
  • Politics
  • World Elections

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.